American Electric Power Company
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American Electric Power Company (AEP) investor relations material

American Electric Power Company Q1 2026 earnings summary

Complete event summary combining all related documents: earnings call transcript, report, and slide presentation.
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Q1 2026 earnings summary5 May, 2026

Executive summary

  • Q1 2026 operating earnings were $1.64 per share ($891M), up from $1.54 per share in Q1 2025, driven by strong regulatory outcomes, robust load growth, and disciplined cost management, especially in Texas and Ohio.

  • Full-year 2026 operating earnings guidance reaffirmed at $6.15–$6.45 per share, with an expected CAGR above 9% through 2030.

  • Five-year capital plan increased to $78B for 2026–2030, with line of sight to over $10B in additional projects and nearly 11% rate base CAGR.

  • Contracted load growth surged to 63 GW expected by 2030, up from 56 GW last quarter, with nearly 90% from data centers and hyperscalers.

  • Regulatory progress achieved across multiple states, including rate reductions, improved ROEs, and new tariff structures to protect customers and ensure large load customers cover their costs.

Financial highlights

  • Q1 2026 operating earnings: $1.64/share ($891M), up from $1.54/share in Q1 2025; GAAP EPS: $1.61, up from $1.50.

  • Revenue for Q1 2026 was $6,020 million, up from $5,463 million in Q1 2025.

  • Regulated earned ROE for the quarter increased to 9.3%, expected to reach ~9.5% by 2030.

  • Commercial and industrial sales rose 13.6% year-over-year; C&I revenues up 15.5%.

  • Residential rates projected to increase ~3.5% annually, mitigated by large load growth and cost offsets.

Outlook and guidance

  • Full-year 2026 operating earnings guidance reaffirmed at $6.15–$6.45 per share.

  • Premium operating earnings growth rate of 7%–9% for 2026–2030, now expected to exceed 9% due to expanded capital plan.

  • Targeted FFO/Debt range of 14%–15% for 2026–2030.

  • Expected total annual shareholder return (TSR) of ~10%–13% from 2026–2030.

  • Line of sight to over $10B in additional projects beyond the $78B plan, including Piketon Transmission and Wyoming Fuel Cell initiatives.

Impact of 63 GW load growth on earnings CAGR
Mechanism for the $16B customer cost offsets
Texas load timing and third-party generation
Explain the $16B residential rate cost offset
Detail SB6 compliance for ERCOT large load growth
Identify the $10B line of sight capital projects
RTO membership assessment for PJM and SPP
Residential cost offsets from large load growth
Capital protection for nuclear investments
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