National Grid
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National Grid (NG) investor relations material

National Grid Investor update summary

Complete event summary combining all related documents: earnings call transcript, report, and slide presentation.
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Investor update summary2 Mar, 2026

Strategic investment and growth plans

  • Announced a plan to invest at least £70 billion over the next five years, a 70% increase from the prior period, with about 85% allocated to green investments, to modernize and expand networks in the UK and US.

  • Investment will nearly double UK transmission capacity and increase US investments by almost 50%, supporting electrification, digitalization, and rising demand from sectors like data centers and healthcare.

  • Targeting group asset growth CAGR of around 10% and upgraded underlying EPS CAGR of 8%-10% from a FY26 baseline, with group assets expected to reach around £115 billion by FY31.

  • Dividend per share aimed to grow in line with UK CPIH inflation, maintaining a strong balance sheet and investment-grade credit rating.

  • Investment plan driven by decarbonisation, energy security, data centre demand, AI, and industrial electrification.

Regulatory and financial framework

  • Accepted Ofgem's RIIO-T3 price control, enabling investment at the required pace and scale, with improved protections over project cost recovery and enhanced Output Delivery Incentives (ODIs).

  • Price control supports delivery of overall return on equity above 9% across the period, with performance split more evenly between TOTEX and ODI incentives compared to T2.

  • Five-year framework based on pragmatic regulatory and performance assumptions, including updated FX rates and inflation expectations.

  • Leverage expected to rise to the high 60s by FY31, with significant unused hybrid debt capacity and no major hybrid issuance planned within the period.

  • No major impact from cost inflation on CapEx guidance; increase from £60bn to £70bn mainly reflects additional years and volume, not inflation.

Execution, efficiency, and delivery confidence

  • Enhanced delivery engine and supply chain de-risking measures, including new contractor partnerships and advanced procurement strategies.

  • Six ASTI projects in construction, six more to be submitted, and others in late-stage consultation, supported by planning reforms and internal capability development.

  • Regulatory incentives encourage efficiency, with cost savings shared between customers and the company.

  • U.S. CapEx plan reflects ongoing rate cases and affordability considerations, with continued focus on efficient deployment and strong recent rate case outcomes.

  • Portfolio optimization remains under review, but no significant asset disposals are assumed in the current funding plan.

What drives RIIO-T3 return on equity above 9%?
Why is FY27 EPS growth significantly higher?
What role does hybrid capacity play in funding beyond FY31?
US power generation fleet strategy post-2028?
RIIO-T3 ROE: Operational vs. financing split?
Debt to RCV ratio target for FY31?
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