Nippon Steel
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Nippon Steel (5401) investor relations material

Nippon Steel Q3 2026 earnings summary

Complete event summary combining all related documents: earnings call transcript, report, and slide presentation.
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Q3 2026 earnings summary5 Feb, 2026

Executive summary

  • FY2025 underlying business profit forecast revised down to ¥620.0 bn, a decrease of ¥60.0 bn from the previous forecast, due to a deteriorating business environment and one-off impacts, including ¥40.0 bn in damage-related costs from blast furnace issues at Muroran.

  • Revenue for the nine months ended December 31, 2025, rose 10.7% year-over-year to ¥7,256,323 million, but profit attributable to owners of the parent fell to a loss of ¥45,002 million from a profit of ¥362,077 million in the prior year period.

  • A major business combination was completed with the acquisition of United States Steel Corporation, significantly expanding global capacity and presence.

  • U.S. Steel's earnings are not factored into FY2025 guidance due to near-term uncertainties, despite improving U.S. market conditions.

  • Full-year dividend for FY2025 maintained at ¥24 per share (¥120 pre-split), with a five-year cumulative payout ratio of approximately 30%, excluding one-off losses from the U.S. Steel transaction.

Financial highlights

  • FY2025 revenue forecast at ¥10,000.0 bn, up ¥1,304.5 bn year-over-year.

  • Underlying business profit (BP) forecast at ¥620.0 bn, down ¥173.7 bn year-over-year.

  • Net profit forecast at ¥(70.0) bn, reflecting a ¥270.0 bn loss on transfer of equity interest in AM/NS Calvert and other one-off items.

  • EPS for FY2025 projected at -13 yen per share.

  • Total assets increased to ¥14,443,085 million from ¥10,942,458 million as of March 31, 2025.

Outlook and guidance

  • Fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, revenue is forecast at ¥10,000,000 million, up 15.0% year-over-year.

  • Business profit is projected at ¥420,000 million, down 38.5% year-over-year.

  • No further expansion in Chinese steel exports expected due to declining Chinese demand and global trade measures.

  • Dividend policy to maintain a 30% payout ratio with a minimum annual dividend of ¥24 per share for FY2026-2030.

  • Market recovery signs in Europe and the U.S. due to tariffs, but risk of low-priced steel inflow into Japan remains.

Impact of reorganization losses on profit?
Why did equity ratio drop post-US Steel deal?
What is the risk of U.S. Steel goodwill impairment?
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Frequently asked questions

Nippon Steel Corporation is Japan's largest steelmaker, operating globally with manufacturing bases in Japan and over 15 countries. The company's operations span four main segments: Steelmaking and Steel Fabrication, which is its core business area; Engineering and Construction; Chemicals and Materials; and System Solutions. Nippon Steel is committed to advancing in four strategic areas as part of its Medium- to Long-term Management Plan: rebuilding and strengthening its domestic steel business, promoting a global strategy for overseas expansion, pursuing carbon neutrality, and embracing digital transformation. The company is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan, and its shares are listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange.

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