Safaricom
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Safaricom (SCOM) investor relations material

Safaricom H2 2026 earnings summary

Complete event summary combining all related documents: earnings call transcript, report, and slide presentation.
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H2 2026 earnings summary7 May, 2026

Executive summary

  • Delivered strong FY26 results with double-digit growth in Kenya and reduced losses in Ethiopia, surpassing guidance and achieving major milestones in customer growth and sustainability.

  • Kenya remains the group's powerhouse, with robust customer growth and balanced performance across segments.

  • Ethiopia contributed significantly to group revenue growth, halving losses and approaching EBITDA breakeven in FY27.

  • Regulatory clarity achieved with a 25-year license renewal in Kenya and progress on infrastructure sharing in Ethiopia.

  • Board recommended a record full-year dividend of KES 2 per share.

Financial highlights

  • Group service revenue grew 11.1% YoY to KShs 414.1Bn; EBITDA up 35.4% to KShs 220.5Bn; net income (excl. minority) up 67.3% to KShs 99.7Bn.

  • Kenya: M-PESA revenue up 13.4% YoY to KShs 182.7Bn, now 45.6% of service revenue; mobile data up 14.4% to KShs 83.4Bn; fixed revenue up 12.9% to KShs 20.2Bn.

  • Ethiopia: Service revenue KShs 14.1Bn (+58.3% YoY), active customers reached 13.6 million; EBITDA losses reduced by over 40%.

  • Operating free cash flow up nearly 40% due to lower CapEx and stronger earnings; group CapEx declined 18.4% YoY to KShs 74.5Bn.

  • Dividend payout maintained at 80% of net income (excl. IAS 29), with total dividends paid in FY26 reaching KShs 80.13Bn.

Outlook and guidance

  • Confirms EBITDA breakeven for Ethiopia in FY27, with positive trajectory supported by price revisions and customer growth.

  • FY27 EBIT guidance: Kenya KShs 195-199Bn, Ethiopia (KShs 15)-(12)Bn, Group KShs 180-187Bn.

  • FY27 capex guidance: Kenya KShs 58-61Bn, Ethiopia KShs 6-9Bn, Group KShs 64-70Bn.

  • CapEx to remain lower as Ethiopia exits peak investment phase; focus on asset utilization and margin protection.

  • Monitoring macro risks, especially fiscal pressures, inflation, and geopolitical risks linked to Middle East conflict.

Drivers for Ethiopia FY27 EBITDA breakeven
Monetization of non-telco services in fiber base
Regulatory hurdles for satellite partnerships
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