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Truecaller (TRUE) investor relations material
Truecaller Investor Update summary
Complete event summary combining all related documents: earnings call transcript, report, and slide presentation.Ad revenue challenges and mitigation efforts
Q4 ad revenues are projected at SEK 210–230 million, about 30% lower year-over-year in constant currency, due to an algorithm change by the largest demand partner and a weakened Indian ads market, including a ban on real money gaming.
The algorithmic issue led to a large portion of inventory being flagged, reducing ad flow and revenue, but the incidence of flagging has now been substantially reduced through ongoing experiments, though not fully resolved.
Only minor improvements in ad revenues were seen in November, and the short-term outlook remains muted.
The company continues to focus on fully resolving the flagging issue and stabilizing ad revenue.
Long-term strategy and business resilience
Strategic initiatives include launching more proprietary and premium ad units, leveraging AI on first-party data, expanding direct sales and reseller partnerships, and focusing on markets outside India.
These efforts aim to reduce reliance on any single demand partner and region, building resilience against future disruptions.
Recurring revenue now constitutes 40–50% of total revenue, reflecting a conscious shift in the revenue mix.
Premium subscriptions and Truecaller for Business are expected to continue robust growth in Q4 2025.
User base is approaching 500 million, supporting a more stable long-term revenue mix.
Cost management and LTIP impact
Increased cost focus has been implemented to maintain profitability despite lower ad revenues.
The LTIP program was revalued from an 80% to 100% probability of meeting performance criteria, resulting in a one-time cost increase in Q4 due to accumulated adjustments since 2022.
This revaluation led to an additional SEK 30 million in incentive plan costs for Q4; total incentive costs (excluding share-price dependent social security) are expected to be around SEK 70 million, with no cash flow impact.
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