Centerra Gold (CG) Investor Update summary
Event summary combining transcript, slides, and related documents.
Investor Update summary
20 Jan, 2026Strategic plan and project overview
Restart of Thompson Creek Mine and ramp-up at Langeloth aim for full integration by 2028, targeting a combined after-tax NPV8% of $472 million and 22% IRR for US molybdenum operations.
Langeloth is expected to generate $50 million annual EBITDA and $45 million in annual earnings at full capacity, with significant synergies from blending high-quality Thompson Creek concentrate.
The integrated plan improves on the 2023 pre-feasibility study, adding 12 million pounds of molybdenum, an extra year of mine life, and de-risked capital estimates.
Project economics are based on a flat $20/lb molybdenum price, with robust fundamentals due to growing demand and constrained supply, supporting a market deficit through the decade.
Thompson Creek is one of three primary molybdenum mines outside China, and Langeloth is one of three U.S. conversion facilities, providing a unique integrated value chain advantage.
Market dynamics and operational details
Molybdenum demand is forecast to grow 2% annually, reaching 750 million pounds by 2030, driven by industrial and energy transition uses.
Supply is constrained as most molybdenum is a byproduct of copper mining, with few new primary mines expected; Thompson Creek is set to start production in H2 2027.
Langeloth will ramp up to 40 million pounds annual capacity by 2028, sourcing one third of feed from Thompson Creek and two thirds from third parties.
Facility offers flexibility with six roasters and the ability to produce various high-margin molybdenum products, including ferromolybdenum and pure oxide.
Strategic location near North American steel markets and major ports supports efficient logistics for both imports and exports.
Financials, capital allocation, and risk management
Thompson Creek's capital estimate is $397 million through mid-2027, with 2024 project costs guided at $75–$85 million and $55–$65 million to be spent in H2 2024.
Langeloth's EBITDA is resilient to molybdenum price fluctuations due to contract structures, with profitability even at lower prices and significant fixed cost leverage.
Working capital at Langeloth is expected to double to about $200 million at full ramp-up, included in NPV/IRR analysis.
Funding for Thompson Creek will come from ongoing cash flow, preserving cash for gold-focused growth and M&A, as the company remains strategically focused on gold for future capital allocation.
Reclamation and closure costs are estimated at $202 million, with transportation and treatment costs to Langeloth at $29 million and $118 million, respectively, over LOM.
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