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Foresight Solar Fund (FSFL) H2 2025 earnings summary

Event summary combining transcript, slides, and related documents.

Logotype for Foresight Solar Fund Limited

H2 2025 earnings summary

27 Mar, 2026

Executive summary

  • Achieved strong operational performance in 2025, with UK generation 3.4% above budget offsetting underperformance in Spain and Australia due to curtailment and negative pricing periods.

  • Delivered a dividend of 8.10 pence per share for 2025 with 1.3x cover, targeting the same for 2026 with a projected 1.1x cover and a 13.4% yield at March 2026 share price.

  • Board remains proactive in exploring options to promote shareholder value, including buybacks, asset cycling, fee revisions, and potential private market solutions.

  • Portfolio valuation reflects independently validated assumptions, lifecycle extensions, and incorporates impacts from lower power price forecasts, Australian write-downs, and tax review.

  • Returned £56.1 million to shareholders via dividends and share buybacks, with the largest sector-relative buyback program executed.

Financial highlights

  • Net Asset Value (NAV) at 31 December 2025 was £545.9m (99.2p per share), down from £634.4m (112.3p) at end-2024, reflecting an 11% decrease.

  • EBITDA for 2025 was £112.2m, up from £105.4m in 2024.

  • Dividend cover reached 1.3x for 2025, with 2026 expected at 1.1x, supported by contracted revenues and delivered cash flows.

  • Buyback program generated over 3p per share of NAV accretion since inception, with 60 million shares repurchased since May 2023.

  • Maintained total gearing at 41.2%, below the 50% policy limit, with a weighted average cost of 3.6% per annum.

Outlook and guidance

  • Target dividend of 8.10pps for 2026, with expected 1.1x cover; contracted revenue hedges provide 1.0x cover, with upside from uncontracted revenues and merchant exposure.

  • Focus on closing the share price discount, strengthening dividend cover, and evolving the development pipeline, including asset cycling and divestment of 75 MW of operational capacity.

  • Anticipated wave of UK CFD projects from upcoming auction rounds, presenting new investment opportunities.

  • Directors continue to evaluate consolidation, partnerships, and capital structure optimisation.

  • Continued emphasis on sustainable, progressive dividends and maintaining revenue visibility through hedging.

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