Noble Capital Markets Virtual Equity Conference
Logotype for Greenfire Resources Ltd

Greenfire Resources (GFR) Noble Capital Markets Virtual Equity Conference summary

Event summary combining transcript, slides, and related documents.

Logotype for Greenfire Resources Ltd

Noble Capital Markets Virtual Equity Conference summary

20 Jan, 2026

Strategic focus and asset overview

  • Growth-oriented oil sands producer operating two SAGD facilities in Western Canada, with 75% interest in Expansion and 100% in Demo.

  • Current production is about 20,000 bpd, targeting 70% growth to 34,000 bpd over two years using industry-standard optimization techniques.

  • Facilities are underpinned by Tier-1 SAGD reservoirs, providing structural cost and operational advantages.

  • Expansion Asset has a capacity of 35,000 bpd (75% owned), Demo Asset 7,500 bpd (100% owned).

  • Both assets benefit from expandable pipeline infrastructure, supporting growth plans without major new investments.

Financial position and capital allocation

  • Only debt is Senior Secured Notes due 2028, with $61M CAD repaid via excess cash flow sweep; Q2 cash at $69M CAD and $50M CAD undrawn credit.

  • Material tax pools of $1.8B CAD, lower royalties, and no gross overriding royalties support higher free cash flow per barrel.

  • 2024 capital investment of $80–90M CAD focused on redevelopment infill wells and surface facility optimizations.

  • Break-even WTI price for 2024 is $57/bbl unhedged, $36/bbl with hedges; 11,500 bpd hedged at $71/bbl.

  • Strategy prioritizes production growth, debt reduction, and eventual shift to shareholder returns as debt falls below $150M.

Operational strategy and production optimization

  • Implements proven SAGD optimization: infill/redevelopment wells, surface facility upgrades, and NCG co-injection.

  • Tier-1 reservoirs allow for natural flow production, avoiding costly downhole pumps and saving $23M CAD net annually.

  • 183 million bbl of proven reserves, 28-year reserve life at current rates, NPV of $2B at auditor price deck.

  • Demo Asset improvements include new disposal wells to address water handling constraints and support higher output.

  • Extended reach refill wells and industry-standard techniques drive cost efficiency and higher recoveries.

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