Deutsche Post (DHL) Investor presentation summary

Strategic direction and transformation

• Strategy 2030 focuses on accelerating sustainable growth through e-commerce, geographic expansion, life sciences, new energy, and digitalization, leveraging structural GDP+ growth trends.

• Transformation from a mail-heavy profile to a global logistics leader has driven higher EBIT and free cash flow, with a CAGR of +10% and +8% respectively over the past decade.

• Legal group structure alignment is on track, with a carve-down of Post & Parcel Germany planned for 2026 to enhance governance and strategic flexibility.

• Fit for Growth program delivers over €600m EBIT contribution in 2025 through structural cost measures, network optimization, and digitalization.

• Artificial intelligence is integrated across operations, focusing on proprietary solutions, third-party adoption, and workforce engagement to drive productivity and service quality.

Financial performance and outlook

• FY2025 EBIT reached €6.1bn (+4% yoy), with ROIC at 13.9% and free cash flow (excl. M&A) at €3.2bn (+8% yoy).

• Q4 2025 reported Group EBIT was €1,827m (-1% yoy), but +7% yoy excluding non-recurring items.

• FY2026 targets: Group EBIT >€6.2bn, FCF (excl. M&A) ~€3bn, and gross capex (excl. leases) €3.0–3.3bn.

• Mid-term guidance: Group EBIT >€7bn and FCF (excl. M&A) >€3bn annually, assuming market growth returns to trend.

• Dividend per share proposed to increase from €1.85 to €1.90 for FY2025, with a share buyback program up to €6bn through 2026.

Divisional performance and growth drivers

• Express: EBIT margin up to 12.9% in FY2025, with cost actions offsetting volume declines; focus on yield management and capacity steering.

• Global Forwarding, Freight: Stable volumes but lower rates led to EBIT margin of 4.5% (excl. non-recurring); asset-light model supports strong cash flow.

• Supply Chain: EBIT margin improved to 6.5%, driven by new business, digitalization, and sector focus; recognized as market leader in contract logistics.

• eCommerce: Organic revenue growth of +4% in FY2025, with largest out-of-home network in Europe and ongoing portfolio optimization.

• Post & Parcel Germany: Parcel volumes up, mail volumes down; EBIT above €1bn target, supported by price increases and cost savings.