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AIB Group (A5G) investor relations material
AIB Group Q3 2025 TU earnings summary
Complete event summary combining all related documents: earnings call transcript, report, and slide presentation.Executive summary
Delivered strong Q3 performance with resilient lending book, supported by a robust Irish economy and a growing customer base of 3.4 million.
Upgraded net interest income (NII) guidance to over €3.7 billion for 2025, reflecting robust lending and deposit growth.
Strategic focus on customer first, greening the business, and operational efficiency continues.
Positive momentum expected to continue into 2026, supported by a strong pipeline and favorable domestic economic conditions.
Financial highlights
New lending grew 5% year-over-year to €10.5bn by September, with notable strength in personal lending, capital markets, and UK businesses.
Net interest income for nine months to September was €2.8bn, with Q3 NII at €0.93bn; NIM YTD was 2.75%.
Operating costs rose 4% year-over-year, mainly from investment and inflation; cost-income ratio at 44%.
Exceptional gain of €150m expected for 2025, mainly from the sale of merchant services.
Cost of risk for 2025 guided to the lower end of 20-30 basis points.
Outlook and guidance
NII for 2025 upgraded to greater than €3.7 billion, with strong deposit and lending growth expected to carry into 2026 and 2027.
Loan growth guidance set at 3% for 2025 and 5% CAGR for 2026 and 2027.
Costs expected to rise ~3% in 2025; cost guidance reiterated at less than €2 billion for 2026.
CET1 capital ratio target remains above 14% by 2027, with a buffer of at least 250bps.
ROTE expected to be >20% for 2025; medium-term ROTE target of 15%.
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